The black swan : The impact of the highly improbable / Nassim Nicholas Taleb.
By: Taleb, Nassim Nicholas
.
Publisher: London : Penguin Books, 2008Description: xxviii, 366 p. : ill. ; 20 cm.ISBN: 9780141034591 (pbk.); 0141034599 (pbk.).Subject(s): Uncertainty (Information theory) | Information theoryDDC classification: 003.54 Summary: What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
| Item type | Current location | Shelf location | Call number | Copy number | Status | Notes | Date due | Barcode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Main Collection | Taylor's Library-TC |
Floor 4, Shelf 38, Side 1, TierNo 1, BayNo 1 |
003.54 TAL (Browse shelf) | 1 | Available | GENSH,GENSH,03,GR | 5000088242 |
Including bibliographic references and index
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty. What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
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